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亚热带山地沼泽优势种桤木的生物量模型构建与评估

Construction and evaluation of biomass models for the dominant species Alnus cremastogyne in subtropical mountain swamps

  • 摘要: 桤木(Alnus cremastogyne)是亚热带山地沼泽的重要优势树种,具有显著的生态和经济价值,其生长速度快,碳汇能力强,准确评估桤木的生物量对于理解和预测区域气候变化下山地沼泽生态系统的碳汇能力至关重要。以浙江省典型山地沼泽为研究区,通过野外调查和室内实验,测定了桤木标准木各组分的生物量;利用多元非线性最小二乘法,针对单株桤木及其各组分的生物量,分别构建了相对生长模型和相容性生物量模型,并评估了各模型的精度。研究结果表明,针对桤木单一组分的生物量,相对生长模型的评估精度更高;针对单株桤木总生物量,相容性生物量模型的评估精度更高;在相对生长模型中,树叶的生物量模型以一元幂函数模型 W=aD^b (W为生物量,ab为参数,D为胸径)的精度最高,树根、树枝、树干和树冠的生物量模型以二元幂函数模型 W=aD^bH^c (H为树高,c为参数)的精度最高,而木材、树皮的生物量模型则以二元幂函数模型 W=a(D^2H)^b 的精度最高。一元幂函数相容性生物量模型 W=aD^b 对单株桤木总生物量的模拟精度最高。本研究通过构建和比较相对生长模型与相容性生物量模型,确定了桤木生物量的最佳评估方法,为准确评估桤木生物量提供了理论依据。

     

    Abstract: Alnus cremastogyne is a predominant tree species in subtropical mountain swamp ecosystems, recognized for its considerable ecological and economic importance. This fast-growing species exhibits a pronounced capacity for carbon sequestration, playing a vital role in regional carbon cycling. Accurate assessment of its biomass is essential for understanding and projecting the carbon sink potential of mountain swamp ecosystems under ongoing regional climate change. In this study, field surveys and laboratory analyses were conducted to measure the biomass of various components of standard A. cremastogyne specimen trees. Using multivariate nonlinear least squares regression, we developed and compared two categories of predictive models: relative growth models and compatible biomass models, designed to estimate biomass at both the component and whole-tree levels. Each model’s predictive accuracy was rigorously evaluated using statistical metrics such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (R2). Results indicate that relative growth models achieved higher accuracy for estimating specific biomass components, including leaves, roots, branches, stems, crowns, wood, and bark, when modeled independently. Among these, leaf biomass was best represented by a univariate power function of the form W=aD^b . For roots, branches, stems, and crowns, a bivariate power function, W=aD^bH^c , provided the best fit. Wood and bark biomass were most accurately estimated by a bivariate power model of the form W=a(D^2H)^b . In contrast, the compatible biomass model demonstrated superior performance in predicting total individual tree biomass, with the univariate form W=aD^b yielding the highest simulation accuracy. This model ensures the additivity of component biomasses, enhancing reliability in whole-tree assessments. By systematically constructing and comparing these model types, this study identifies the optimized approaches for biomass estimation in A. cremastogyne. The findings provide a robust theoretical foundation for improving the accuracy of forest carbon stock quantification and support the scientific management of subtropical mountain swamp ecosystems under climate change scenarios. This research provides a comprehensive evaluation of biomass modeling approaches for A. cremastogyne in subtropical mountain swamp ecosystems. The findings identify optimal modeling strategies for different biomass components and establish a robust theoretical foundation for improving the accuracy of forest carbon stock quantification. The study offers practical insights for ecosystem management and enhances our capacity to assess carbon sequestration potential in these vulnerable ecosystems, supporting more reliable carbon accounting and informed climate change mitigation strategies in subtropical regions. The demonstrated methodology and model selection framework have broader applications for biomass estimation in similar wetland forest ecosystems worldwide.

     

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